by Colin Campbell
LESS than four weeks to go the Scottish Parliamentary elections on May 6 and Nicola Sturgeon is still brazenly peddling the fiction that Boris Johnson will cave in and back an independence referendum, because opposition to it will be “unsustainable”.
That was the jaded and ridiculous claim she dragged out yet again in an interview yesterday.
If I was an SNP nationalist I would be very fed up of hearing this now, from Sturgeon or any other senior SNP politician.
Many of them are of course, which is why they’ve quit and joined Alex Salmond’s more extremist Alba outfit.
The more seats and votes the SNP gain three weeks on Thursday the louder the clamour for indyref2 will be. That’s obvious.
What is equally obvious is that the Prime Minister can continue to refuse a section 30 order for a legal referendum for as long as he wishes.
Both Johnson and the Tories are riding high, thanks to the success of the vaccination programme, with a substantial poll lead over Labour.
Johnson would like to be doing better in Scotland but can there be any doubt that he will take the outcome of the poll here, whatever it may be, in his increasingly confident stride?
Sturgeon may claim that a humbled and crestfallen PM will give in to her referendum demands if the SNP win a majority in May, but there has to be a huge questionmark over whether even she believes what she’s saying.
If she does, what was all the hullabaloo about three months ago when she declared, at the height of the pandemic, that she would hold an illegal referendum if necessary?
Sturgeon, like a blizzard of conflicting opinion polls, seems all over the place with confusion as to what really lies ahead.
The death on Friday of Prince Philip was a momentous historical event for this country.
The departure of Scotland from the United Kingdom would, in a different context, be a historical event of much greater magnitude.
Boris Johnson has repeatedly said he will not sanction another independence referendum, and on this, at least, he can be believed.
Does anyone, including Nicola Sturgeon, seriously believe that he would be party to a scenario in which he would risk historical infamy as the Prime Minister who stood by and watched helplessly as Britain was torn apart?